Jul 25, 2016

James P. Arthur Huprich's Market Trusms And Axioms

James P. Arthur Huprich's Market Trusms And Axioms


1. Commandment #1: "Thou Shall Not Trade Against the Trend."
2. Portfolios heavy with underperforming stocks rarely outperform the stock market!
3. There is nothing new on Wall Street. There can't be because speculation is as old as the hills. Whatever happens in the stock market today has happened before and will happen again, mostly due to human nature.
4. Sell when you can, not when you have to.
5. Bulls make money, bears make money, and "pigs" get slaughtered.
6. We can't control the stock market. The very best we can do is to try to understand what the stock market is trying to tell us.
7. Understanding mass psychology is just as important as understanding fundamentals and economics.
8. Learn to take losses quickly, don't expect to be right all the time, and learn from your mistakes.
9. Don't think you can consistently buy at the bottom or sell at the top. This can rarely be consistently done.
10. When trading, remain objective. Don't have a preconceived idea or prejudice. Said another way, "the great names in Trading all have the same trait: An ability to shift on a dime when the shifting time comes."
11. Any dead fish can go with the flow. Yet, it takes a strong fish to swim against the flow. In other words, what seems "hard" at the time is usually, over time, right.
12. Even the best looking chart can fall apart for no apparent reason. Thus, never fall in love with a position but instead remain vigilant in managing risk and expectations. Use volume as a confirming guidepost.
13. When trading, if a stock doesn't perform as expected within a short time period, either close it out or tighten your stop-loss point.
14. As long as a stock is acting right and the market is "in-gear," don't be in a hurry to take a profit on the whole positions. Scale out instead.
15. Never let a profitable trade turn into a loss, and never let an initial trading position turn into a long-term one because it is at a loss.
16. Don't buy a stock simply because it has had a big decline from its high and is now a "better value;" wait for the market to recognize "value" first.
17. Don't average trading losses, meaning don't put "good" money after "bad." Adding to a losing position will lead to ruin. Ask the Nobel Laureates of Long-Term Capital Management.
18. Human emotion is a big enemy of the average investor and trader. Be patient and unemotional. There are periods where traders don't need to trade.
19. Wishful thinking can be detrimental to your financial wealth.
20. Don't make investment or trading decisions based on tips. Tips are something you leave for good service.
21. Where there is smoke, there is fire, or there is never just one cockroach: In other words, bad news is usually not a one-time event, more usually follows.
22. Realize that a loss in the stock market is part of the investment process. The key is not letting it turn into a big one as this could devastate a portfolio.
23. Said another way, "It's not the ones that you sell that keep going up that matter. It's the one that you don't sell that keeps going down that does."
24. Your odds of success improve when you buy stocks when the technical pattern confirms the fundamental opinion.
25. As many participants have come to realize from 1999 to 2010, during which the S&P 500 has made no upside progress, you can lose money even in the "best companies" if your timing is wrong. Yet, if the technical pattern dictates, you can make money on a short-term basis even in stocks that have a "mixed" fundamental opinion.
26. To the best of your ability, try to keep your priorities in line. Don't let the "greed factor" that Wall Street can generate outweigh other just as important areas of your life. Balance the physical, mental, spiritual, relational, and financial needs of life.
27. Technical analysis is a windsock, not a crystal ball. It is a skill that improves with experience and study. Always be a student, there is always someone smarter than you!

 

James Montier's 7 Immutable Laws Of Investing

James Montier's 7 Immutable Laws Of Investing

1. Always insist on a margin of safety
2. This time is never different
3. Be patient and wait for the fat pitch
4. Be contrarian
5. Risk is the permanent loss of capital, never a number
6. Be leery of leverage
7. Never invest in something you don't understand

Jul 23, 2016

WHY WE ARE DIFFERENT ? WHY CHOOSE MEGHA INVESTMENTS ?

WHY WE ARE DIFFERENT ? :

At megha investments, we have a business model which is based on renewal or re-subscription of the existing customers.
So, why are the existing customers renew their services? Of course only when they are given good services in terms of support etc. and the profit target is achieved for which they have paid fees.
This is not possible if we are to chase hundreds of leads/free trials every day as it is done by most so called telemarketing advisory companies which are in fact call centres.
You simply can't focus on better customer service if you are trying to chase hundreds of new customers every day, in fact every hour.
Also, we know our customers are retain participants who trade or invest with as low an amount as Rs.25000 to 25 lakh and more. There are not a lot many people who are seriously interested in working with long term orientation in investing and trading as well. And out of them, there are much less who will understand the arguments of our firm and why should they trust us and pay advance charges without any free trials (article regarding "Why you should never take free trials?/Trape of Trials" already given earlier, go to our blog site), so this sums to a necessity for us to give the best services to THE EXISTING PAID CUSTOMERS whoever with us, if we want to remain in the business and make profit. This is what makes us different.
To do this, we work hard on our both the most important aspect of service delivery, which are (1) giving actual profits to customers for which they paid us charges, and (2) giving better support in terms of awareness, flexibility, and support on phone, email communication and other value added service.
This, we have been able to do consistently since last 10 years and also bring about improvement over time. That is why we have been able to survive WITHOUT DOING ANY TYPE OF MARKETING OR GIVING ANY FREE TRIALS.
This is just one of the many aspects of why you should choose megha investments and how can you choose a better advisory online for your needs of stock investing and trading consultancy.
We have written another article listing out in detail other similar aspects, please find the link else where on our site.


-Regards,
General Manager, Sujay

Some Most Important Bullish And Bearish Chart Patterns A Trader Must Know

Some Most Important Bullish And Bearish Chart Patterns A Trader Must Know

BULLISH PATTERNS -
flag
pennant
cup with handle
ascending triangle
symetrical triangle
measured move up
ascending scallop
3 rising valleys

BEARISH PATTERNS -
flag
pennant
inverted cup with handle
descending triangle
symetrical triangle
measured move down
descending scallop
3 descending peaks

REVERSAL PATTERNS -
double bottoms
diamond bottoms
tops rectangle
head and shoulder tops

Most effective technical analysis patterns, Most important technical patterns, accurate stock chart patterns for reversal

Most effective technical analysis patterns, Most important technical patterns, accurate stock chart patterns for break out
CLICK ON IMAGE FOR LARGE VIEW

Jun 26, 2016

Lot size increasing again in NSE FNO segments from July 2016 series. nse lot sizes, list of nse derivatives, nse fno list

Lot size increasing again in NSE FNO segments from July 2016 series
The value of the futures contracts on individual securities may not be less than Rs. 2 lakhs at the time of introduction for the first time at any exchange. The permitted lot size for futures contracts & options contracts shall be the same for a given underlying or such lot size as may be stipulated by the Exchange from time to time. Lot size increasing again in FNO segments from July 2016 series.

Lot size increasing again in FNO segments from July 2016 series
UNDERLYINGSYMBOLJun-16Jul-16
NIFTY BANKBANKNIFTY3040
NIFTY 50NIFTY7575
NIFTY ITNIFTYIT4550
NIFTY PSENIFTYPSE150200
S&P 500S&P500250250
NIFTY INFRASTRUCTURENIFTYINFRA150225
FTSE 100 INDEXFTSE10075100
NIFTY MIDCAP 50NIFTYMID50150200
DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVGDJIA3030
INDIA VOLATILITY INDEXINDIAVIX650
Derivatives on Individual SecuritiesSymbolJun-16Jul-16
ADITYA BIRLA NUVO LIMITEDABIRLANUVO250750
ADANI ENTERPRISES LIMITEDADANIENT60008000
AJANTA PHARMA LIMITEDAJANTPHARM400400
ALLAHABAD BANKALBK600010000
AMARA RAJA BATTERIES LTD.AMARAJABAT600600
APOLLO TYRES LTDAPOLLOTYRE30003000
ASHOK LEYLAND LTDASHOKLEY70007000
ASIAN PAINTS LIMITEDASIANPAINT600600
BAJAJ FINANCE LIMITEDBAJFINANCE125125
BATA INDIA LTDBATAINDIA10001100
BHARTI AIRTEL LIMITEDBHARTIARTL12001500
BAJAJ AUTO LIMITEDBAJAJ-AUTO200250
BIOCON LIMITED.BIOCON11001100
BOSCH LIMITEDBOSCHLTD2550
BHARAT PETROLEUM CORP  LTBPCL600600
CASTROL INDIA LIMITEDCASTROLIND11001400
CEAT LIMITEDCEATLTD700700
CENTURY TEXTILES LTDCENTURYTEX8001100
CESC LTDCESC10001100
CIPLA LTDCIPLA8001000
CONTAINER CORP OF IND LTDCONCOR400500
CUMMINS INDIA LTDCUMMINSIND600600
DABUR INDIA LTDDABUR20002500
ACC LIMITEDACC375400
ADANI PORT & SEZ LTDADANIPORTS16002500
AMBUJA CEMENTS LTDAMBUJACEM21002500
ARVIND LIMITEDARVIND17002000
DLF LIMITEDDLF50005000
EICHER MOTORS LTDEICHERMOT2550
AUROBINDO PHARMA LTDAUROPHARMA700700
AXIS BANK LIMITEDAXISBANK10001200
BANK OF BARODABANKBARODA31003500
BHARAT ELECTRONICS LTDBEL450450
FEDERAL BANK LTDFEDERALBNK800011000
ANDHRA BANKANDHRABANK800010000
BHARAT FORGE LTDBHARATFORG500600
GODREJ CONSUMER PRODUCTSGODREJCP400400
HAVELLS INDIA LIMITEDHAVELLS20002000
HCL TECHNOLOGIES LTDHCLTECH600700
BANK OF INDIABANKINDIA30006000
HDFC BANK LTDHDFCBANK500500
HINDUSTAN UNILEVER LTD.HINDUNILVR600600
INDIABULLS REAL EST. LTDIBREALEST900010000
BRITANNIA INDUSTRIES LTDBRITANNIA200200
CADILA HEALTHCARE LIMITEDCADILAHC15001600
CANARA BANKCANBK20003000
IDEA CELLULAR LIMITEDIDEA30005000
IDFC LIMITEDIDFC330013200
THE INDIA CEMENTS LIMITEDINDIACEM60007000
INDIAN OIL CORP LTDIOC12001500
JINDAL STEEL & POWER LTDJINDALSTEL70009000
JAIN IRRIGATION SYSTEMSJISLJALEQS80009000
JUBILANT FOODWORKS LTDJUBLFOOD300500
DEWAN HOUSING FIN CORP LTDHFL22003000
DISH TV INDIA LTD.DISHTV50007000
KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK LTDKOTAKBANK700800
L&T FINANCE HOLDINGS LTDL&TFH80009000
MARICO LIMITEDMARICO26002600
DIVI’S LABORATORIES LTDDIVISLAB600600
MARUTI SUZUKI INDIA LTD.MARUTI125150
UNITED SPIRITS LIMITEDMCDOWELL-N250250
MOTHERSON SUMI SYSTEMS LTMOTHERSUMI15002500
MRF LTDMRF1515
EXIDE INDUSTRIES LTDEXIDEIND34004000
NCC LIMITEDNCC80008000
NTPC LTDNTPC40004000
ORIENTAL BANK OF COMMERCEORIENTBANK30006000
PAGE INDUSTRIES LTDPAGEIND5050
GLENMARK PHARMACEUTICALSGLENMARK500700
GODREJ INDUSTRIES LTDGODREJIND13001500
HDFC LTDHDFC400500
PTC INDIA LIMITEDPTC80008000
RELIANCE COMMUNICATIONS LRCOM800010000
HERO MOTOCORP LIMITEDHEROMOTOCO200200
RELIANCE INDUSTRIES LTDRELIANCE500500
RELIANCE POWER LTD.RPOWER1200012000
HEXAWARE TECHNOLOGIES LTDHEXAWARE20002000
HINDALCO  INDUSTRIES  LTDHINDALCO50007000
SKS MICROFINANCE LTDSKSMICRO10001000
SHRIRAM TRANSPORT FIN CO.SRTRANSFIN600600
HINDUSTAN PETROLEUM CORPHINDPETRO600700
SUN PHARMACEUTICALS IND.SUNPHARMA600600
SUN TV NETWORK LIMITEDSUNTV20002000
TECH MAHINDRA LIMITEDTECHM10001100
TITAN COMPANY LIMITEDTITAN15001500
TORRENT PHARMACEUTICALS LTORNTPHARM400400
CROMPTON GREAVES LTDCROMPGREAV300012000
UNION BANK OF INDIAUNIONBANK30004000
UPL LIMITEDUPL10001200
HINDUSTAN ZINC LIMITEDHINDZINC32003200
DR. REDDY’S LABORATORIESDRREDDY150200
VEDANTA LIMITEDVEDL40006000
GAIL (INDIA) LTDGAIL14001500
INDIABULLS HSG FIN LTDIBULHSGFIN800800
INDO COUNT INDUSTRIES LTDICIL500600
IDBI BANK LIMITEDIDBI80008000
IFCI LTDIFCI2000022000
INDRAPRASTHA GAS LTDIGL11001100
IRB INFRA DEV LTD.IRB21002500
JSW ENERGY LIMITEDJSWENERGY60008000
BHARTI INFRATEL LTD.INFRATEL13001400
INFOSYS LIMITEDINFY500500
BHELBHEL20005000
JSW STEEL LIMITEDJSWSTEEL600600
INDIAN OVERSEAS BANKIOB14000
KPIT TECHNOLOGIES LTDKPIT40004000
CAIRN INDIA LIMITEDCAIRN30003500
LUPIN LIMITEDLUPIN300300
ITC LTDITC16001600
JET AIRWAYS (INDIA) LTD.JETAIRWAYS9001000
KARNATAKA BANK LIMITEDKTKBANK40006000
ORACLE FIN SERV SOFT LTD.OFSS150150
LARSEN & TOUBRO LTD.LT300500
GRANULES INDIA LIMITEDGRANULES50005000
MAHINDRA & MAHINDRA LTDM&M400500
GRASIM INDUSTRIES LTDGRASIM150150
ICICI BANK LTD.ICICIBANK17002500
PIDILITE INDUSTRIES LTDPIDILITIND10001000
PUNJAB NATIONAL BANKPNB40007000
RELIANCE CAPITAL LTDRELCAPITAL15001500
MCLEOD RUSSEL INDIA LTD.MCLEODRUSS22003000
RELIANCE INFRASTRUCTU LTDRELINFRA13001300
M&M FIN. SERVICES LTDM&MFIN20002500
STEEL AUTHORITY OF INDIASAIL900012000
STATE BANK OF INDIASBIN20003000
NMDC LTD.NMDC50006000
OIL INDIA LTDOIL12001700
OIL AND NATURAL GAS CORP.ONGC20002500
PETRONET LNG LIMITEDPETRONET30003000
SIEMENS LTDSIEMENS400500
SYNDICATE BANKSYNDIBANK50009000
TATA CHEMICALS LTDTATACHEM11001500
TATA COMMUNICATIONS LTDTATACOMM11001400
TV18 BROADCAST LIMITEDTV18BRDCST1700017000
UNITED BREWERIES LTDUBL500700
ULTRATECH CEMENT LIMITEDULTRACEMCO200200
TATA ELXSI LIMITEDTATAELXSI300300
TATA GLOBAL BEVERAGES LTDTATAGLOBAL40004500
TVS MOTOR COMPANY  LTDTVSMOTOR20002000
WIPRO LTDWIPRO10001000
WOCKHARDT LIMITEDWOCKPHARMA375600
ZEE ENTERTAINMENT ENT LTDZEEL13001300
VOLTAS LTDVOLTAS16002000
POWER GRID CORP. LTD.POWERGRID40004000
APOLLO HOSPITALS ENTER. LAPOLLOHOSP400400
COAL INDIA LTDCOALINDIA12001700
COLGATE PALMOLIVE LTD.COLPAL500700
BEML LIMITEDBEML500500
STRIDES SHASUN LIMITEDSTAR400500
LIC HOUSING FINANCE LTDLICHSGFIN11001100
TATA MOTORS LIMITEDTATAMOTORS15001500
TATA CONSULTANCY SERV LTTCS200250
PC JEWELLER LTDPCJEWELLER13001500
POWER FIN CORP LTD.PFC20003000
RURAL ELEC CORP. LTD.RECLTD20003000
MINDTREE LIMITEDMINDTREE800800
ADANI POWER LTDADANIPOWER2000020000
SRF LTDSRF400500
TATA MOTORS DVR ‘A’ ORDTATAMTRDVR21002100
TATA POWER CO LTDTATAPOWER80009000
TATA STEEL LIMITEDTATASTEEL20002000
ENGINEERS INDIA LTDENGINERSIN22003500
HOUSING DEV & INFRA LTDHDIL60008000
JUSTDIAL LTD.JUSTDIAL500800
YES BANK LIMITEDYESBANK700700
UCO BANKUCOBANK10000
INDUSIND BANK LIMITEDINDUSINDBK600600
KAVERI SEED CO. LTD.KSCL7501500
NHPC LTDNHPC2700027000
GMR INFRASTRUCTURE LTD.GMRINFRA3900045000
JAIPRAKASH ASSOCIATES LTDJPASSOCIAT4800068000
THE SOUTH INDIAN BANK LTDSOUTHBANK2200030000
UNITECH LTDUNITECH7700099000
Posted on Sunday, June 26, 2016 | Categories:

Jun 7, 2016

May 31, 2016

The 14 best lessons from “What I learned losing a million Dollars”

IMPORTANT EXCERPTS FROM THE BOOK BY JIM PAUL

  1. The potential of initial and temporary success only exists in trading. You can’t just call yourself a brain surgeon and get lucky while messing around in someone’s head. And just stepping on stage and trying to give a violin concert if you have never touched a violin before won’t end too well either.
  2. Right, wrong, win and lose are inappropriate terms for describing the participation in the markets. In 20/20 hindsight, decisions might be good or bad but not right or wrong. With regards to the markets, only expressed opinions can be right or wrong. Market positions are either profitable or unprofitable.
  3. There are as many ways to make money in the markets as there are participants. But there are only very few ways to lose.
  4. A light-bulb manufacturer understands that 2 out of 10 bulbs will not work; a fruit seller knows that some apples will be foul. Those losses are expected. In trading, we don’t expect to lose when we enter a trade. Unexpected losses are hard to deal with.  Acknowledging that losses are part of the game and accepting the losses are two very different things.
  5. In trading, losses are treated as mistakes and from early on, we have been taught that mistakes are bad and have to be avoided.
  6. If you know exactly how much you are going to win, but don’t know how much you can lose, you are denying losses.
  7. Trading is an activity without a beginning and an end. In an activity without an end, you can always make decisions and change your decisions based on the current situation. A football game, a roulette spin or blackjack have defined beginnings and endings; after the game is over, you can’t change anything. You have to accept the outcome. It’s not open for interpretation; you (your team) have lost or won. In trading, the “game” (activity) never ends and your trade (potentially) never ends. Because your trade doesn’t end, your loss is never final and it could always turn around.
  8. Rules are hard and fast. Tools have some flexibility. Fools neither have rules nor tools.
  9. A scenario might have been an acceptable trade based on someone else’s rules. Profitable opportunities will occur that you won’t participate in. Your rules will only enable you to engage in some of the millions of opportunities.
  10. You can’t calculate the probability of having a winner. You can only calculate how much you are going to lose. All you can do is manage your losses and not predict your profits.
  11. People usually pick the exit point as a function of their entry point and it’s usually some arbitrary Dollar amount.
  12. People rationalize a trade idea by expressing the trade in terms of the money odd’s fallacy – “it’s a three to one reward-risk ratio! I’ll risk $500 to make $1500”. The reward-risk ratio gives no information about the likelihood of winning a trade.
  13. People who ask, “Why is the market up or down?” don’t want to know why.  They only want to hear the reasons that justify their losing position.
  14. The last moment of objectivity for the roulette player is the moment before he places his bet and the wheels starts spinning. After that, he can’t do anything anymore to lose more money. For the market participant, the last moment of objectivity is the moment before he places his trade. But after that, he can still do a lot to lose more money. That’s why all your decisions and plans have to be made pre-trade.
Posted on Tuesday, May 31, 2016 | Categories:

May 14, 2016

Indian stock markets on monday and a brief commentary for present stock market situation

A Sell off expected in Indian markets.
PSU banks to fall the most followed by some financial stocks, real estate stocks, capital goods and engineering stocks.
However buying will also be seen in many sector and stocks.
Many sectors and stocks will witness bottom fishing and buy on dips will prevail.
Nifty will target 7770 first. As we said the fear of big correction in USA Dow index is giving panics to markets and bears are using the resistance of 8000 to do sell off despite good economic numbers and other indicators from across the world like Germany, India, and USA itself.
Brexit is not a very very major issue for world economy. It is important in the sense of the political make over of the European Union and within UK but any devastating effects on global financial markets and world economy as such is far sighted.
We continue to remain bullish on markets.
Many stocks are weak and will go down 30% from present levels which we gave earlier also like PSU banks and so on.
A lot depend on nifty crossing 8000 mark, that will start a definitive bull market in Indian equities which will be a very good market second to the phase we saw in 2003 to 2008 bull trend.
However traders have to maneuver their trades as week to week market trends and for that they require expert professional analyst help.
join with our analyst on www.meghainvestments.com
Posted on Saturday, May 14, 2016 | Categories:

Indian stock markets on monday and a brief commentary for present stock market situation

A Sell off expected in Indian markets.
PSU banks to fall the most followed by some financial stocks, real estate stocks, capital goods and engineering stocks.
However buying will also be seen in many sector and stocks.
Many sectors and stocks will witness bottom fishing and buy on dips will prevail.
Nifty will target 7770 first. As we said the fear of big correction in USA Dow index is giving panics to markets and bears are using the resistance of 8000 to do sell off despite good economic numbers and other indicators from across the world like Germany, India, and USA itself.
Brexit is not a very very major issue for world economy. It is important in the sense of the political make over of the European Union and within UK but any devastating effects on global financial markets and world economy as such is far sighted.
We continue to remain bullish on markets.
Many stocks are weak and will go down 30% from present levels which we gave earlier also like PSU banks and so on.
A lot depend on nifty crossing 8000 mark, that will start a definitive bull market in Indian equities which will be a very good market second to the phase we saw in 2003 to 2008 bull trend.
However traders have to maneuver their trades as week to week market trends and for that they require expert professional analyst help.
join with our analyst on www.meghainvestments.com
Posted on Saturday, May 14, 2016 | Categories:

May 9, 2016

Asset Classes Returns Over the Last Two Centuries

Asset Classes Returns Over the Last Two Centuries
World asset class return comparision
Asset class return chart historic
Stocks vs. bonds and other asset class returns comparision

Posted on Monday, May 09, 2016 | Categories: