ATUL AUTO LTD. Funda-Techno Analysis l Medium - Long Term Investment Review 1 October 2017

ATUL AUTO LTD.

CMP : 465.

VIEW : MID AND LONG TERM.

STRATEGY AND UPDATES: NA

Atul auto is and established player in the commercial and passenger segment automobile sphere. It has wide market share in overall terms although it has not tried any aggressive penetration in north or south Indian markets. It is well established in west India. It is also ready for the electric vehicle segment and has already launched its entry level model.

Its market capitalization is only  about 1000 crore while having good brand and about 500 crore sales. The company is totally debtfree and having CAGR of 58% for last 3 years and 37% for last 5 years.Profit CAGR is 96% for last 3 years. ROE or return on equity CAGR for last 3 years is 32%.  

The dividend payout ratio is also very healthy at 26%. Its book value is good at 5.42.

On the price earnings ratio front the stock is trading at 25 times which is at par to below what its peers are trading at. Again, the stock has tremendous advantage of being a smallcap, so any rise in profitability or capex plans or other corporate development will have huge impact on stock price.

TECHNICAL PICTURE:

As you can see the stock has been in a brief downtrend or consolidation since start of 2015. It looks ripe for another upleg as it is nearing its 400 rs support price. It also seem to take support at its 200 and 100 DMA on weekly chart as it bounced from its 400 level in july 2017. MACD and RSI picture is also favourable.

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This is only a brief of a full report. It is possible, that we have already given this stock recommendation to our clients, or will give it in future, and may exit/reenter as per deem fit to us, updates of which are not possible to give every time.

Research in stock market, about companies is subject to change on day to day basis due to news and developments etc.

Disclaimer: We or our clients may be holding positions in one or more or all of the stocks recommended by us.

Go check out our site for details or email us or call us for detailed discussion.

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COCHIN SHIPYARD LTD. Mid & Long Term View Fundamental Take For Investors

COCHIN SHIPYARD LTD.

CMP : 519.

VIEW : MID AND LONG TERM.

STRATEGY AND UPDATES: NA

The company came out with good valuations in IPO in last month.

It also posted 555 crore revenue and 90 crore profit in first quarter.

It is India’s largest ship building company. Its shipbuilding capacity is also huge and it has outlined 2700 crore capex. Existing order book is Rs.3078 crore. Entire capex will be funded by internal resources only and not any borrowings.

The company is already debt free and it has Rs.2000 crore cash as well.

Last year co earned 320 cr profit  on sales of 2000 crore. The company is expected to grow easily in next two years at 15-20%.

Its trading at 520 and can come down to 490 or around 450. In deep correction or sell of it can touch 400 where it would become highly attractive so buying shall emerge.

Long term investor and mid term investor also with view of 2-3 years can buy the stock with 50% appreciation expectation.

 

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This is only a brief of a full report. It is possible, that we have already given this stock recommendation to our clients, or will give it in future, and may exit/reenter as per deem fit to us, updates of which are not possible to give every time.

Research in stock market, about companies is subject to change on day to day basis due to news and developments etc.

Disclaimer: We or our clients may be holding positions in one or more or all of the stocks recommended by us.

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Important Points For Traders From Mark Douglas's 'Trading In The Zone'

Important Points For Traders From Mark Douglas's 'Trading In The Zone'

Mark Douglas has written one of the best books on the psychology of successful trading.  In his book, Trading In the Zone, Douglas discusses how a trader can begin to eliminate the emotional risk of trading via a probabilistic mind-set.  A probabilistic mind-set is essential to understanding the market because the market is “always communicating in probabilities.”  In other words, the market does not speak Chinese, English, Russian, or bullish or bearish…it speaks probability.  If we plan on living in China we need to learn Chinese, if Russia then Russian.  If we plan on making a living in the market then we need to learn the language of probability.  A probabilistic mind-set consists of internalizing the following fundamental truths:

1.  Anything can happen. Or as I like to say, anything can happen…and often does. Usually the market does the exact opposite of what we think it should do and when we begin to doubt the market it does exactly what we once thought it should do.  Get it?

2.  You don’t need to know what is going to happen next in order to make money. Trading is not about being right in our arrogant predictions, it is about making money.  We are never going to be able to predict what will happen next either in the market or in life so let’s just get over it once and for all.

3.  There is a random distribution between wins and losses for any given set of variables that define an edge. Trading is like tossing a coin: we can have five wins in a row or five losses;  we could win one lose one.  Wins and losses are random so do not bet the farm or the crops.

4.  An edge is nothing more than an indication of a higher probability of one thing happening over another. Call it what we will but if we have a system, a methodology, a strategy, an edge for locating a trade then we have found an indication of a high probability circumstance that has been historically proven to repeat itself over and over again and will probably do so in the future.

5.  Every moment in the market is unique. No matter how many times we have traded an edge the outcome can be different this time and no matter how perfectly matched this pattern is with the last one, this one is truly unique if for no other reason than in this market the participants are not the same as in the last one.  The market is too diverse and too fluid to be put in a box, wrapped up and sold to the next consumer.

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ARTSON ENGINEERING LTD. A Clear Cut View For Investors & Traders September 2017

ARTSON ENGINEERING LTD.

CMP – 69

RECOMMENDATION: BUY FOR MID TO LONG TERM

The first point in favour is that it is a wholly owned tata group subsicidiary with Tata Projects Ltd holding 75% and 25% with public.

Second point is that it is ruling at PE of below 10, while its most of peers are ruling around PE of 20. We believe, and as India is entering into altogether new era of growth where engineering EPC services will be definitely in lot of demand, ARTSON due to its patronage and experience will have a lot of work to do. It has small market cap of about 250 cr while topline of 100 crore. On the profitability and topline growth the company lacks attraction but due to a small about 4 crore equity, the stock price usually tend to fire up terrifically in case of big order win or spike in profitability or some corporate development. Company is not paying dividend, so don’t buy for dividend. 

TECHNICAL PICTURE: as you can see in the chart, the price has been gyrating between 20 and 100 for over last 20 years, we believe that Indian stock market has entered into new leg of upsurge and this stock can deserve a place in a long term owners portfolio who wishes to just strike gold at the same time remaining on the safe side as the most beneficial investment niche to buy in a good company at a good price is that if it falls you buy more and that too without fear in fact with pleasure, as you know that you are doing the right thing. This stock clearly belongs to the evid portfolio investor.

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This is only a brief of a full report. It is possible, that we have already given this stock recommendation to our clients, or will give it in future, and may exit/reenter as per deem fit to us, updates of which are not possible to give every time.

Research in stock market, about companies is subject to change on day to day basis due to news and developments etc.

Disclaimer: We or our clients may be holding positions in one or more or all of the stocks recommended by us.

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Gloster Ltd. Easy Double Money In Medium Term l Investment Review

Gloster Ltd. | CMP Rs. 638 | M Cap Rs. 625 Cr | 52 W H/L 624/320

This is only listed firm, very old and established as well as highly profitable in jute mfg segment. Consistently growing its topline and constantly maintaining its bottomline.

For an investor with 3 years view, it can delivery 100% kind of return.

Revenue from Operations came at Rs. 119.4 Cr vs QoQ Rs. 133.4 Cr, YoY Rs. 112.2 Cr

EBIDTA came at Rs. 17.2 Cr vs QoQ Rs. 7.9 Cr, YoY Rs. 14.1 Cr

EBITDA Margin came at 14.4%, QoQ 5.9%, YoY 12.6%

Adj. PAT came at Rs. 12.4 Cr vs QoQ Rs. 6 Cr, YoY Rs. 11.4 Cr

Quarter EPS is Rs. 11.9.

 

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This is only a brief commentary; you can contact us for complete research, analysis and view on the stock.

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This is only a brief of a full report. It is possible, that we have already given this stock recommendation to our clients, or will give it in future, and may exit/reenter as per deem fit to us, updates of which are not possible to give everytime.

Research in stock market, about companies is subject to change on day to day basis due to news and developments etc.

Disclaimer: We or our clients may be holding positions in one or more or all of the stocks recommended by us.

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Saurashtra Cement Ltd. Investment Review l Results Update

Saurashtra Cement Ltd. | CMP Rs. 72 | M Cap Rs. 498 Cr | 52 W H/L 85/52

Results update and recommendation.

Revenue from Operations came at Rs. 139.1 Cr vs QoQ Rs. 107.5 Cr, YoY Rs. 143.3 Cr

EBIDTA came at Rs. 29.3 Cr vs QoQ Rs. 1.4 Cr, YoY Rs. 30.5 Cr

EBITDA Margin came at 21%, QoQ 1.3%, YoY 21.3%

Adj. PAT came at Rs. 22.8 Cr vs QoQ Rs. 0.5 Cr, YoY Rs. 21.6 Cr

Quarter EPS is Rs. 3.3.

We believe this stock has good potential for upside and is relatively undervalued among the cement space.

It belongs to very old and prestigious Mehta Group, and has brands like Hathi Cement, and Sidhee Cement which is also listed.

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This is only a brief commentary; you can contact us for complete research, analysis and view on the stock.

Join one of our services for getting regular trading calls in all segments like equity stock cash intraday, positional, index options, index futures, stock futures, stock options and intraday and positional in all of the segments with high accurate less calls with small stoploss and bigger target with personalized service for tracking your profits/losses with us, that’s what we call assured profit services.

This is only a brief of a full report. It is possible, that we have already given this stock recommendation to our clients, or will give it in future, and may exit/reenter as per deem fit to us, updates of which are not possible to give everytime.

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Shamaroo Entertainment - Long - Medium Term Brief Investment Review

Shamaroo Entertainment - CMP 360

Company is into film aggregation and monetisation through tradition media and New media like You Tube with New Media revenue growing over 35% share of revenue of 24%. Company has increase its investment in films though increase in Inventory of longer duration right.

Company came out with inline number in Q1 post impact of Demonetisation in previous 2 quarter. In Q1 again inventory increased by 75cr but management clarified that this Inventory is mainly of regular business and not increase in Investment as such will correct over coming quarters. Company was into increasing its Investment portfolio in films since last 3-4 years and was expected to come out of its Investment phase in the current year which will help it to generate free cash flow.

Management has given guidance of FY 18 closing inventory to be lower than FY17 Inventory which indicate Investment phase is over and company can start generating free cash flow which can rerate the stock. Stock is trading at PE of 12x. Outlook Positive.

We recommend buy for medium and long term as well. And expect at least 100% return in 1-3 years.

Subscribe to https://www.meghacapital.in/ for proper buy/sell, Stoploss, Target Levels and timely updates regarding actual trading in the recommended stocks. 

This is only a brief commentary; you can contact us for complete research, analysis and view on the stock.

Join one of our services for getting regular trading calls in all segments like equity stock cash intraday, positional, index options, index futures, stock futures, stock options and intraday and positional in all of the segments with high accurate less calls with small stoploss and bigger target with personalized service for tracking your profits/losses with us, that’s what we call assured profit services.

This is only a brief of a full report. It is possible, that we have already given this stock recommendation to our clients, or will give it in future, and may exit/reenter as per deem fit to us, updates of which are not possible to give everytime.

Research in stock market, about companies is subject to change on day to day basis due to news and developments etc.

Disclaimer: We or our clients may be holding positions in one or more or all of the stocks recommended by us.

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HSBC predicts 6% India GDP for April-June Quarter 2017

India’s economic growth is likely to remain “soft” and the GDP is expected to grow by 6 per cent in April-June, down from 6.1 per cent in the preceding quarter, says an HSBC report.

According to global financial services major, higher private consumption and government spending is likely to be “dulled” by weak investment and exports growth over the quarter.

“Repercussions of an early budget and the newly implemented Goods and Services Tax (GST) rates, receipts and rebates are likely to distort upcoming GDP readings,” it said.

The report said the Gross Value Added (GVA) may be a more reliable measure of economic activity over the next few quarters amidst policy changes like the demonetisation episode (8th November 2016) followed by GST implementation (1st July 2017).

“Sandwiched between demonetisation, GST and other smaller policy changes, we recommend relying more on GVA as a measure of economic growth rather than GDP,” it said.

“We expect GVA growth for the first quarter of this fiscal to come in at an improved but still soft 6.2 per cent, and GDP a tad lower at 6 per cent,” HSBC said in a research note.

The report said the Union budget was released on February 1, about a month in advance compared to previous years. This allowed for faster approvals and front loading of certain expenditure, particularly subsidies.

Besides, until the new system settles down, the GST tax regime could lead to uncertainties in tax collections, it added.

“We expect first quarter GVA growth to recover to 6.2 per cent y-o-y, from 5.6 per cent in the demonetisation hit in the previous quarter,” it said adding despite the improvement, growth is likely to remain soft. In fact growth has been falling singularly since mid-2016.

On the production side, agriculture and trade services are likely to be strong and manufacturing is likely to improve in line with IIP data. However, financial services is expected to remain depressed, it added.

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10 Useful Quotes from Reminiscences of a Stock Operator

10 Useful Quotes from Reminiscences of a Stock Operator

1.    There is nothing new in Wall Street. There can’t be because speculation is as old as the hills. Whatever happens in the stock market today has happened before and will happen again.

2.    The desire for constant action irrespective of underlying conditions is responsible for many losses in Wall Street even among professionals.

3.    I never lose my temper over the stock market. I never argue the tape. Getting sore at the market doesn’t get you anywhere.

4.    They say you can never go poor taking profits. No, you don’t. But neither do you grow rich taking a four-point profit in a bull market. Where I should have made twenty thousand I made two thousand. That was what my conservatism did for me.

5.    Remember that stocks are never too high for you to begin buying or too low to begin selling.

6.    A man may see straight and clearly and yet become impatient or doubtful when the market takes its time about doing as he figured it must do. That is why so many men in Wall Street…nevertheless lose money. The market does not beat them. They beat themselves, because though they have brains they cannot sit tight.

7.    After spending many years in Wall Street and after making and losing millions of dollars I want to tell you this: It never was my thinking that made the big money for me. It always was the sitting. Got that? My sitting tight!

8.    Losing money is the least of my troubles. A loss never bothers me after I take it…But being wrong—not taking the loss—that is what does the damage to the pocketbook and to the soul.

9.    Prices, like everything else, move along the line of least resistance. They will do whatever comes easiest.

10. The speculator’s chief enemies are always boring from within. It is inseparable from human nature to hope and to fear. In speculation when the market goes against you hope that every day will be the last day—and you lose more than you should had you not listened to hope—the same ally that is so potent a success-bringer to empire builders and pioneers, big and little. And when the market goes your way you become fearful that the next day will take away your profit, and you get out—too soon. Fear keeps you from making as much money as you ought to. The successful trader has to fight these two deep-seated instincts…Instead of hoping he must fear; instead of fearing he must hope.

     For best services for traders and investors in Indian stock market for multibagger stock calls and intraday stock, nifty, stock futures, options trading calls visit our website www.meghacapital.in 

Tom Basso Best Quotes For Traders From Book 'THE NEW MARKET WIZARDS'

Tom Basso Best Quotes For Traders From Book 'THE NEW MARKET WIZARDS'

Tom went from trading his own money, to forming TrendStat and managing other peoples money. At the peak of his career, TrendStat managed $600million dollars of capital.

Tom is one of best traders featured from Market Wizards on the psychology of trading. Here are favorite quotes from his interview in this book.

         “I realized that every time I had a loss, I needed to learn something from the experience and view the loss as tuition at the College of Trading. As long as you learn something from a loss, it’s not really a loss.” – Tom Basso

“When your account has these massive swings up and down, there’s a tendency to feel a rush when the market is going your way and devastation when it’s going against you. These emotions do absolutely nothing to make you a good trader. It’s far better to keep the equity swings manageable and strive for a sense of balance each day, no matter what happens.” – Tom Basso

“I probably do more mental exercises now than I ever did. Each morning while I’m driving to work, I make a conscious effort to relax. I mentally rehearse any conflict that might happen that day. The process of mentally organizing and relaxing before I get to work helps me start my day in a very positive frame of mind.” – Tom Basso

“Also, it helps if you view your life as a movie. If you go to a video store and rent a horror movie, you’re voluntarily letting yourself be horrified, and it’s not stressful because deep down you know it’s just a movie. What if you had the same attitude about life?” – Tom Basso

“I think investment psychology is by far the most important element, followed by risk control, with the least important consideration being the question of where you buy and sell.” – Tom Basso

For best services for traders and investors in Indian stock market for multibagger stock calls and intraday stock, nifty, stock futures, options trading calls visit our website www.meghacapital.in 

TRIBHOVANDAS BHIMJI ZAVERI LTD. Stock Trading Call - Investment Review Buy

TRIBHOVANDAS BHIMJI ZAVERI LTD. Stock  Trading Call - Investment Review Buy

Commentary:

This is one of the very old and premium brands in jewellery market. They had been making losses. We can not compare the topline and bottomline with its peers such as PC Jewellers, as TBZ has been on the backfoot regarding expansion. But the good news is that it has turned around and started making profits from break even for many years. The main rerating point for all the organized players in this sector is the demonetization. We have already seen that for the bigger players like Titan, PC Jewellers and others. The dominant presence in bigger market like Mumbai is also a plus for the company.

Technical Picture:

The stock crossed 100 DMA recently after many years and about to cross 200 DMA on weekly charts after which it will give faster surge. The 5% circuit filter limit is limiting the fast rise of the stock. The stock is ready to shoot up 50pc plus in a very short span of time. After listing it briefly made lifetime high of 300 and languishing since then. It has been clearly doing base building during 2016-17 and ready to rise and probably make new high as well.

Subscribe to www.meghainvestments.com for proper buy/sell, Stoploss, Target Levels and timely updates regarding actual trading in the recommended stocks. 

This is only a brief commentary; you can contact us for complete research, analysis and view on the stock.

Join one of our services for getting regular trading calls in all segments like equity stock cash intraday, positional, index options, index futures, stock futures, stock options and intraday and positional in all of the segments with high accurate less calls with small stoploss and bigger target with personalized service for tracking your profits/losses with us, that’s what we call assured profit services.

This is only a brief of a full report. It is possible, that we have already given this stock recommendation to our clients, or will give it in future, and may exit/reenter as per deem fit to us, updates of which are not possible to give everytime.

Research in stock market, about companies is subject to change on day to day basis due to news and developments etc.

Disclaimer: We or our clients may be holding positions in one or more or all of the stocks recommended by us.

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FORTIS HEALTHCARE LTD. Stock Futures, Options, Trading Call - Investment Review Short Sell - Exit

FORTIS HEALTHCARE LTD. Stock Futures, Options, Trading Call - Investment Review Short Sell - Exit 
19/08/2017

Commentary:

We have been bearish for most of the past year on this scrip. The company has been in news for all the wrong reasons since last few months with legal issues and growth problems. The topline is growing but the profitability is suffering which we believe is the problem of all companies in the sector. With government cracking down on the profit margins of healthcare sector by variety of steps, we believe an entire rerating of companies such as Fortis will be done by market just like the pharma sector. The company stock price is very expensive at the current price and has potential to crash to 50 Rs. We are extremely bearish and this can be one of our many of windfall trading opportunity for futures short sellers and put call traders. Also, investors can offload and save their capital from erosion.

Technical Picture:

The stock surged to 180 levels, which was its lifetime high of 2010 bull market. But it could not sustain there and has been trading about sideways since more than a year now. We believe it has broker the range on the downside, by closing below 160 on monthly chart and about to break 100 DMA on the same. It has already broker 100 and 200 DMA on weekly and daily charts. We believe to short on every rise and make huge money in futures and options in such sureshot calls. To get the strategy and levels, and entry, exit you can contact us.

  

Subscribe to www.meghainvestments.com for proper buy/sell, Stoploss, Target Levels and timely updates regarding actual trading in the recommended stocks. 

This is only a brief commentary; you can contact us for complete research, analysis and view on the stock.

Join one of our services for getting regular trading calls in all segments like equity stock cash intraday, positional, index options, index futures, stock futures, stock options and intraday and positional in all of the segments with high accurate less calls with small stoploss and bigger target with personalized service for tracking your profits/losses with us, that’s what we call assured profit services.

It is possible, that we have already given this stock recommendation to our clients, or will give it in future, and may exit/reenter as per deem fit to us, updates of which are not possible to give everytime.

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Real Estate Sector India 2017 2018 Outlook Affirmative With Steep Investments On The Back Of Macro Economic Changes

Real Estate Sector India 2017 2018 Outlook Affirmative With Steep Investments On The Back Of Macro Economic Changes

A favourable regulatory environment coupled with attractive asset valuations has enhanced investor confidence by changing the perception of Indian realty in the global arena. Interest from offshore equity investors, large Indian corporates and high net worth individuals (HNIs) are likely to bring in investments worth USD 7 billion into the sector this year, says a report.

While office and residential are expected to remain traditional drivers for the industry; alternate sectors, such as retail and warehousing will also are also likely to be in the forefront, says a report by CBRE titled Indian Real Estate in 2017 and Beyond released by CREDAI at its 17th Annual International Convention, NATCON 2017 in London.

The report encapsulates the major policy related disruptions by Government of India which are challenging the traditional operating environment by setting a new foundation for change. According to the report, regulatory measures such as RERA, GST and REITs are aimed at improving transparency in the sector, increasing the share of organised segment and enhancing the overall investor sentiment. This will help in catalysing ease of doing business in the country while supporting corporate entities entering or expanding their footprint in India.

It anticipates that breakthrough disruptions – regulation, finance, customers and technology are likely to have positive insinuations on the sector and will facilitate a new ecosystem which will be more conducive.

With RERA, GST and I-REITs becoming a reality in 2017, the Government has taken a lead in challenging the operating fabric with regulatory disruptors and making affordable housing the growth catalyst in the residential segment, it says.

The report also looks at the changing customer preferences in office, retail, residential and warehousing space. For instance, the dynamics in office spaces are being disrupted with the entry of Millennials – over, two-thirds of the Indian Millennials feel the quality of office design impacts their productivity to a large extent.

In the warehousing segment – entry of international players is ensuring that better and larger warehouses emerge in key markets; in the residential segment - customers will have a say in operations with effective grievance redressal. Customer experience has also become at the heart of retail’s strategy which is fuelling future trends like customisation and hyper customisation.

As per the survey, more than 40 percent of retailers in cities such as Noida, Gurgaon, Delhi, Mumbai, Kolkata etc. preferred locating in the malls, as they serve as experience destinations, as per the report.

“The government’s aggressive push to formalize, regulate and encourage investment to the sector with a slew of measures like RERA, REITs is consolidating India’s position on the global map. We believe that these disruptions and encouraging trends will definitely manifest a more exciting future which will be full of possibilities and opportunities for Indian real-estate,” says Jaxay Shah, president, CREDAI National.

“In this burgeoning Indian economy, the one sector that has emerged from the restraints of the past is real estate. The sector in India is one of the key contributors and mainstays for India’s development as a nation. Real estate in India continues to be in a dynamic phase and the pace at which the four cornerstones – regulation, finance, customers and technology are evolving, a more than incremental transformation in the sector is expected in the coming years. In this report we have dwelled on how a strong foundation for this change has already been laid with a conducive operating environment, the future growth of the sector will be determined by many other factors,” says Anshuman Magazine, chairman, India & South East Asia, CBRE.