Showing posts with label Telecom Sector India. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Telecom Sector India. Show all posts

Nov 20, 2019

Buy Vodafone Idea Ltd for Long Term : Buy 5000-10000 shares or more

Buy Vodafone Idea Ltd for Long Term : Buy 5000-10000 shares or more

Main Arguments to buy:


  1. Stock should be bought in your portfolio in 'penny stock' category
  2. Stock holding duration can be 5-10 years.
  3. Target of the stock price is 50-100 rupees in next 5 years and thereafter as per the then prevailing condition about telecom sector and the company in specific.
  4. There is little to lose by investing rupees 5-10k shares and a lot to gain.
  5. This stock fits in a classic buy category of penny stocks and potentially 'once in a lifetime' kind of investment idea that comes in investing life cycle.
  6. Telecom sector has matured and in developed markets also there remains 3 big players at the end of the growth cycle and beginning of matured profitability cycle.
  7. All the 3 players namely, Reliance Jio, Bharti Airtel, and Vodafone Idea have about equal market share wiz. 35 crores around, which is very huge.
  8. At this time it is highly unlikely that there can be any M & A activity between them.
  9. 35 crore user base is very huge and a small margin of profit can also reduce debts considerably and make this company profitable in few quarters only. Once debt free it can fetch tremendous valuation as the 35 crore user base will offer immense profit potential over the period of future.
  10. The parent company Vodafone Plc is a very old global telecome conglomerate having operations in many countries and looks unlikely that they will liquidate their operations in a lucrative market such as India after all they have faced and especially now when the Indian telecom market has matured and in some time to become profitable (in gross terms) to all operators and the tariff war also has ended.
  11. Looking at about point it does not look very tough for an MNC like Vodafone to raise few billions of dollars fund if it has to require for its operation in India.
  12. The disruptor Reliance Jio has already announced it will charge IUC which will be income to the Airtel and Vodafone Idea as well as it will start charging the users slowly and eventually as per its plans, so that is a relief for both Airtel and Vodafone Idea as they can also start charging.
Looking at above arguments, we strongly recommend to put some money in this stock at present price.
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Dec 30, 2017

Reliance Jio To Acquire Assets Of Reliance Communications - RComm debt to come down to 6000 crore after some other real estate sales

Mukesh Ambani’s Reliance Jio announced a deal on Thursday to acquire younger brother Anil Ambani-owned Reliance Communications’s (RCom’s) wireless infrastructure assets, including towers and spectrum, at an estimated price of Rs 20,000-24,000 crore. The historic deal between the brothers came on their father Dhirubhai Ambani’s 85th birth anniversary.
The two companies have signed binding agreements and the proceeds would be used to pre-pay RCom’s bank loans.
“Jio emerged as the highest bidder in a transparent process conducted under the supervision of a high-powered bid evaluation committee, comprising experts from banking, telecom and law. The company will utilise the proceeds of the monetisation of this cash deal solely for pre-payment of debt to its lenders,” RCom said in a statement.
Jio, which has disrupted the Indian telecom sector after the launch of its free voice service last September, will acquire 122.4 MHz of 4G spectrum in the 800/900/1800/2100 MHz bands, over 43,000 towers, around 178,000 route km of fibre with a pan-Indian footprint, and 248 media convergence nodes, covering 5 million sq ft used for hosting telecom infrastructure. These assets are expected to contribute significantly to the large scale roll-out of wireless and fibre to home and enterprise services by Jio.
Both companies said the transactions would close in a phased manner over the next three months ending March 2018, subject to approvals from lenders.
Cash payments, including deferred spectrum installments payable to Department of Telecommunication (DoT), would form part of the deal.
 
RCom had defaulted on its loans and had entered the Strategic Debt Restructuring (SDR) scheme to recast its debt worth Rs 44,700 crore as of March. According to the deal with the lenders, RCom was to sell its assets by December to repay the loans.
Banks, on the other hand, had to let go of their dues till December 2018 from the beleaguered company. But as the company failed to sign any deal before the December 2017 deadline, the banks will have to consider the account as a non-performing asset and set aside 15 per cent of the exposure as provisions in the December quarter.
The acquisition will put Jio in charge of a sizeable spectrum band even as the telco has already disrupted the sector over the past one and a half year.  Jio holds almost 14 per cent of the telecom market share by adjusted gross revenue, according to the Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (Trai) numbers and has been steadily rolling out freebies to telecom subscribers to grab market share.
Apart from this transaction, RCom would also sell real estate and minority stake to reduce its debt by 87 per cent to Rs 6,000 crore.
The company had earlier announced plans to sell prime real estate across New Delhi, Chennai, Kolkata and Navi Mumbai. The Jio acquisition does not include real estate assets.

SBI, IDBI Bank, Bank of Baroda are among the top lenders to RCom. The company was also able to convince China Development Bank, one of its large lenders, to withdraw a National Company Law Tribunal (NCLT) petition to recover Rs 9,600-crore debt from RCom. The RCom stock gained 7.7 per cent to close at Rs 31 on Thursday.

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