56
Must Know One –Liners For Traders To Be Successful
- Think
in terms of probable outcomes, not 100% accuracy. You will be 6 feet under
before you achieve the latter.
- Fester
over turning points that produce yield. A market turning point or
inflection zone is worthless to most people unless it is followed by
a price movement that pays off relative to your risk.
- Work
in numbers, not aesthetics. Save the cute charts for the powerpoint team.
- Good
value propositions are found in all markets. The best investors on planet
earth have learned to identify significant value and take advantage when
it is present.
- Wait
until reality slaps you in the face prior to thinking you are the
smartest person in the room.
- Until
it’s proven, it’s just a hypothesis.
- No,
you shouldn’t be taking that trade ahead of the data release.
- Analysts
and economists risk nothing but their reputations.
- Beware
of the people that always have a strong opinion. Unwavering systems of
belief are far more susceptible to loss than those willing to accept
alternative outcomes.
- What
is plain-to-see rarely works in the real world.
- You
are passing on all the good trades and taking all the bad ones because
your strategy lacks a winning percentage in alignment with your
expectations.
- Markets
are primarily driven by the expectation or surprise of fundamental news
and data. And governments.
- Conspiracy
theorists get stopped out 99.99999999% of the time. Subjects of “The
Big Short” entertain us because they are as rare as a total solar
eclipse.
- Build
your strategy by working backwards. This industry significantly lacks
emphasis on exit strategies. A strong price magnet relives concerns about
risk and pressures on pinpointing entries.
- Governments
are oftentimes poor judges, giving passes to those big enough to pay
a legal settlement. Do your homework and make sure your money is in good
hands.
- The
best trading strategy ideas are on websites that lack images of Ferraris,
sailboats, beaches or mountains.
- If
you’re afraid to use it, don’t. Your brain has already pronounced the
outcome.
- People
that instantly make you feel good usually aren’t the ones taking you to
the next level.
- In
all cases, people, thus prices, are drawn to heavy order flow like
bees to a hive.
- When
someone asks you, “what’s the trade logic”? You should be able to answer
in under 30 seconds.
- Just
because an entry looks good doesn’t mean everything that follows is going
to be good, too. Trading for one or two ticks on a retail platform is
the ultimate waste of time and money.
- Always
work with the end in mind. The best portfolio managers fester
over performance metrics first, because that’s all that matters in the end.
- If
you stink at managing risk, you will always lose until you figure this
out.
- Drawdown
is another way of saying “you were wrong”. Focus on what’s right about the
situation, not where you went wrong. Look at your valleys and and see
what’s going on there, not your flawed points of entry.
- Avoid
money-making buzzwords in the same way you would a psychopath
who’s foaming at the mouth and running after you with a chainsaw.
- Commissions,
spreads and fees should be treated like a chronic disease. Learn to live
with them but don’t let them stop you from moving forward.
- Writing
a trading plan in your early career is the equivalent of a toddler drawing
a stick figure. Realize it will get better in time but by no means treat
it as an end result.
- Trading
plans should be renamed Risk plans. Because that’s all that matters in the
end.
- Your
strategy should consist of a parameters that produce a clean return
distribution, with the peak being as long as possible, and the valleys
keeping the strategy afloat during various trading environments.
- It
doesn’t matter what you trade or how you trade it. If it works, it works.
- If
you can’t get a favorable result with plain Jane parameters, odds are the
exotic ones are going to blow up down the line. This is the epitome of
over-optimization. Parameters need to fall with in a group with specific
ones producing better outcomes than others, but all keeping the ship
afloat.
- All
instruments consist of different levels of liquidity. Liquidity drives
more market versus limit orders being used. These have a direct effect on
the types of price movements they exhibit. Treat them all differently,
because they are.
- None
of us are born dumb. Society makes us that way.
- Funnel
your dopamine addiction to something that adds value, like actionable
research. Clicking buy and sell buttons should not be your “rush”.
- Find
a broker that sucks the least.
- Find
a wealth manager for your passive portfolio that sucks the least.
- Find
an attorney that sucks the least.
- Find
a vacation spot that is excellent.
- Liquidity
and slippage will always affect performance. If you’re going to trade
it, trade it like you mean it. Hesitate, and these two will come back
to haunt you.
- Frequently
go through your performance metrics. If you’re short-term trading, do it
every day.
- Don’t
trade any concept that’s new to you for at least a month, up to a year,
depending on its complexity and level of outcomes, contingent on volatility.
- Yes,
you’re overthinking it.
- Trading
environments effect the performance of all strategies. Over-optimized
strategies are primed for one environment but not the next.
- People
get drunk and look terrible when they do. Your strategy is no different.
Treat it like a temple.
- High
frequency for retail is hyper-mythology. Those claiming it are usually
using some form of latency arbitrage or spoofing. #1 will get you banned
by your brokers and #2 will get you thrown in jail.
- The
most complaints come from people who have no solid reason to complain
about anything.
- Brokers
have the easiest jobs in the industry unless they’re getting sued.
- Even
when everything looks perfect, there is still going to be an unseen flaw
in the strategy. Don’t pretend to be surprised when it happens.
- Yes,
you’re probably wasting your time on that idea.
- Exercise.
Because blood flow is important.
- Trading
is a skill that is learned, and needs to be done methodically. Those who
swing for the fences usually end up throwing the bat at it instead.
- Trading
is not war, a neurological battle, a sport or a reality TV show. Its a
job.
- The
blind lead the blind because people want to hang around others they feel
comfortable with.
- You
don’t need a PhD or have the ability to write a complex algo to work
successfully. This may not be the case if you’re preparing for corporate
war.
- Stop
worrying about finding anomalies or the trading definition of an ego
boost. Nobody in the real world cares unless you put the turkey on the
table.
- Your
gut is the best barometer for wise decision-making in all aspects of life.
Performing regular gut checks, and following through on the result, is one
of the best tools for success anyone can ever have.
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