Scrip
|
February
|
May
|
Decrease in %
|
Nifty
|
5500
|
4900
|
-11%
|
Igl
|
500
|
210
|
-58%
|
Hdil
|
120
|
65
|
-46%
|
Suzlon
|
35
|
19
|
-45%
|
LITL
|
20
|
12
|
-40%
|
Unitech
|
35
|
21
|
-40%
|
Sintex
|
100
|
58
|
-42%
|
Gvkpil
|
18
|
11.5
|
-36%
|
Delta corp
|
82
|
55
|
-35%
|
Hcc
|
27
|
18
|
-34%
|
Relcap
|
420
|
280
|
-34%
|
Rcom
|
100
|
67
|
-33%
|
Jsw energy
|
65
|
43
|
-35%
|
Ivrcl
|
75
|
51
|
-34%
|
Punj Lloyd
|
62
|
43
|
-30 %
|
Gmrinfra
|
30
|
21
|
-30%
|
If market recovers 5 percentages or in points terms, if
nifty recovers from 4940 to 5200, we might see the recovery in this stock more
then 50 of the above fall of the market. so from 4940 level chances of going
down is 35 % and chances to go up to level of 5100 is 45 and 20 % will be at
the same level in the month may.
We are seeing a very heavy continues
selling from FII’S. they are changing the direction of the market.. Another
reason is from Europe but it is going to calm down. But we will not see immediate
recovery, but at least selling will be either low or stopped. So it is a good
time for buying in fundamentally strong company. Moreover in 2009 nifty recover
from 4950 level. And in 2010 nifty increases from 4980 level and in 2012 also
nifty is getting a support from the level of 4950. So it is becoming a last
support of nifty which is very strong and nifty should trade in the range of
4950 to 5100 for the month of may
Midly bullish strategy of nifty
Buy nifty call of strike price 5000 at 63
Sell nifty call of
strike price 5100 at 31
Buy nifty put of strike price 4900 at 85
Sell nifty put of 4800
at 53
Total premium paid will be 63 + 85 – 31 – 53 = 63 * lot size
50 = 3150
No stopp loss requires as we are seeing a trading range of
4900 to 5100. At both place investor will earn the money.
Trading strategy for bank nifty :-
Bank nifty is showing some kind of resistant at the current
level. So it will be the buying opportunity for the trader. They just can buy
at current level for the target of 9800 to 10100 for the may expiry.
Buy bank nifty at current level or use below strategy
Buy call of bank nifty of 9600 strike price at 140
Sell call of bank nifty of 9700 strike price at 110
Buy put of 9200 strike price 162
Sell put of 9100 strike price around 135
No stop loss is required as strategy covered for both of the
trend.
Maximum risk will be net premium paid = 140 + 162 – 110 –
135 = 57 * 25 = 1425
Reward will be un limited. low risk and high return
Buy infra and contruction stock or use
below strategy.
Buy Hdil call 70 strike price at 1.90
Unitech call 22.5 strike price at 0.65
Both stock has been crushed from its recent high 35 %
So we might see a recovey of 10 % in two weeks.
Total risk is very low [1.90 * 2000 = 3800 + 8000 * 0.65 =
5200] = 9000
Target for hdil call = 5 rs
Target for unitech call is = 1.25rs
Maximum possible return would be 10000 + 10000 = 20000
So investment around 9000 profit could be around 11000
Might gives profit more then 100 % in one week
Pair trade power sector :
Rel power 100 strike price call at 1.90
Tata power 100 strike price call 1
rs
Total investment is [1.90 * 2000 = 3800
+ 4000 * 1 = 4000 ]= 7800
Target for both stock is rpower 4.5 rs
, tata power 3 rs
Maximum profit 4.5*2000 = 9000 + 4000 *
3 = 12000 = 21000
Investment 7800
Return possible 21000
Risk reward ration is very much
favorable
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