May 26, 2013

STATE OF MARKETS: About Turn OR About Turn ?

The 1st About Turn means 'Will the markets resume its rally?' or the 2nd About Turn 'Will the markets resume its downturn persisted throughout February, and March? '

In our last article, we clearly wrote about the 5971 level.
It still is the most important level before 5758 and 5480. We believe this level has been held after a corrective last week on the back of global markets profit booking (how do you understand when some thing is a profit booking only or a panic selling or reversal? You can understand it easily See, when the market corrects without any reason it is profit booking and the possibility is highly likely that the present trend will resume again. For example, you saw that on 13 May markets dropped 500 points, there was some export import data, which were not of much significance; export import data have not been of much significance. Neither was there a global markets sell of of such event. Apart from that the Nifty steadied and closed just above the 5971 level which was a clear clear indication of a complete recovery in next or next to next day. So, the point is that when without any substantial reason markets fall in a visible uptrend or rise in a visible downtrend then it is just a profit booking correction and not a reversal)

Markets are looking like playing sea-saw to hold or cross 5971 level in next week and even if a downtrend is there on Monday and Tuesday you can not tell with conviction that it will go further down or will be below 6000 by the time the week ends. So, try to play cautiously next week. Remain long and short both.
Many stocks have again reached their March low levels. Many of them took support and bounced due to formation of mid term levels double bottom. If stocks decline below that then we will see 10-30% decline in next and pursuing week itself in many stocks like Tata Chem, Tech Mahindra, Bank India, and so on. There are many of them, while many stocks have broken their levels and are destined 100% to fall lower in if not next week then later irrespective of market making new high of not. And this happens nornally when market is rising slowly i.e. for example imagine Nifty rising 25 points daily about average and thus crossing 6350+ in 1 month. This type of move lets the bears hammer weak stocks without being affected with market's uprise.
The trader should position himself on both sides by buying strong and selling weak and then increase sizing which ever the market is going for a two day game. However, the bulls still seem to have control over the market, as you saw how on 13 may also bears' attempt to bring markets down went in vein as well as the bulls were successful to pull the Nifty up above 5971 and close 5982 level on last Friday. You can see the struggle in the form of the long 'shadow' on Friday candle.

Contact us OR Become member to get accurate TGT, SL level and HOLDING DURATION.

We, and our clients may or may not have any position in stocks recommended, many times we exit before the given target or SL. The stocks recommended to buy may already be recommended to our clients below the given levels earlier or sell recommendations may be already given at higher levels to our clients. We give regular updates to registered members. Become registered member and get benefits of strong research and advice. Click below for details,
http://www.meghainvestments.com/index.html


Technical analysis and stock movements as well recommendations are subject to changes in market condition and news flow of company and the economy. So please remain updated with us. Or contact us directly in case of any query on info@meghainvestments.com or 09377008708

May 23, 2013

NIFTY INDEX AS ON 11 AM 23 MAY 2013

Nifty decined from above 6200 due to a tell-a-tell bearish engulfing type of pattern.WE EARLY ALSO SAID MKT VERY BULLISH WHEN IT CLOSE ABOVE 5971. After it rallied above 6200.  Now watch out for 5971 level again if it breaks below that than market can drift down upto 5770 level support.
It looks like if market is going to give correction then it will be led by international market correction.
But go short only if nifty remains on the given level on weekly basis as market has huge appetite for volatility nowadays.
Don't miss opportunities of short selling in many stocks which can give 5-15% return. At the same time hedge position by remaining long in benchmark indices by trading in call and put options and index futures. IT sector is looking again like it will play its role of defensive. Infy, TCS, and TechM looking strong in the short run.
If market sustains the level, then we may see new high above 6360 in June itself. So, remain in market and remain alert.
Traders must not miss volatility. Yes, they should also beware of high volatility. Don't try to play 'catch up' with market or 'chase' market momentum.
Stay updated with us !

Contact us OR Become member to get accurate TGT, SL level and HOLDING DURATION.

Technical analysis and stock movements as well recommendations are subject to changes in market condition and news flow of company and the economy. So please remain updated with us. Or contact us directly in case of any query on info@meghainvestments.com or 09377008708

May 18, 2013

May 15, 2013

May 13, 2013

ALL TIME TOP GOLDEN RULES FOR TRADING:


ALL TIME TOP GOLDEN RULES FOR TRADING:

1.     Always trade with an actual stoploss.
2.     Trade with adequate capital. Otherwise you can easily lose out early.
3.     Make a trading system of signals which determine your entry and exit. Don’t do it on your hunch or guesswork of market and stock moves. Test your trading system/rules until it proves itself wrong.
4.     Never trade on loan money.
5.     Never risk more than 5% of your trading margin on one single trade.
6.     Forget the result of your last trade; be it profit or loss. Every new trade is new game.
7.     Always keep your risk reward ratio above 1.5 or 2 or more.
8.     Never ever average your losing trades.
9.     Let your profitable trades run.
10. Stop trading/take break after consistent series of losses or profits.
11. Be completely clear why you are trading. Don’t trade for only money. Trading is a journey and not a destination. Trading is not a job, it is a business. Expect not to get paid for days, weeks, months and even for a full year as in business. Trade because you love it. Never trade for fun, excitement or kill the boredom.
12.If you are completely new, start with paper trading, but don’t remain in paper trading. If you are relatively old then start with smaller positions and increase your volume as you go ahead with development of your trading system and right trading mental attitude.
13.Remain emotionally detached and completely rational.

May 10, 2013

How To Develop A Trading System?


How To Develop A Trading System
           
How to develop a trading system and what are the key “ingredients” in a trading system.  The word ingredients is interesting because I think that trading plans or systems should mimic the way we might bake a cake – meaning, it’s important that there are very specific steps involved in taking a trade  setup, and that you need to know exactly what to do when you’re right or wrong.

 
Here are 5 key phases of development of a trading system:

1.    Logic of the trading system
a.    Use If / Then conditional statements that turn into conditional thought process
b.    Make some of the components dynamic
c.    Price is purest form of analysis. How did the market respond the last time this happened

2.    Syntax – Setup takes place before the trading signal.
a.    What conditions are present prior to entry?
b.    What causes entry?
c.    Stop placement (know where your analysis is wrong)
d.    Profit target (reasonable expectation about where the market will go when you are right)

3.    Testing
a.    Test for 30-50 trades (minimum) historically in one or multiple markets.
b.    How did it perform when you followed the exact rules?
c.    What was the max draw-down?

Apr 12, 2013

10 years trend in Equity ownership in India among Promoters, MFs, FIIS, and Retail Investors:


10 years trend in Equity ownership in India among Promoters, MFs, FIIS, and Retail Investors:

Here you can see in the table illustrating the changes in equity ownership in stock market share holding pattern over the last more than 10 years among promoters, FIIs, Mutual funds, and retail investors among others.
Reail investors have pulled out Rs.66000 crore out of equities in the year 2012-13.
We can see that the stake held by promoters has remained at average 50% over the decade, however we strongly believe this trend will change and the average promoters' shareholding in Indian stock markets during the next decade shall be over 40% but below 45%. The rest will be held by FII and FDI investors in the next few years and then and then only retail and mutual fund participation may be able to increase their pie out of the promoter stake decline in market capitalization of the Indian stock markets.

Apr 8, 2013

Apr 3, 2013

The possible Indian Stock Market Nifty Movement in Next 12 months


The State of the Markets as on today and Where are they heading?
Indian Stock Markets, Nifty, Sensex Future in Next 12 months:

We saw NIFTY touching 6111.80 on 29 Jan 2013, which was almost 2 year high for Indian Stock Markets.
As we had explained how the markets can rise in coming months in our last article of September 2012, the market almost behaved in the anticipated fashion.
(Please read the article at below link giving explanation with charts. Also find how we predicted a US Stock Markets present bull run)

We will, in this article discuss what could be the course of the Indian Stock Markets in the coming months. We will also give a short commentary on global markets which comprises of US, Europe and Asian markets other than India.

THE PRESENT STATUS:
The markets behaved haywire in January and gave hopes of a new year long and more bull run by making almost more than 2 year highs.

Apr 2, 2013

What to do in Balrampur Chini Mills Ltd. DOUBLE BOTTOM AND GRAVESTONE DOJI FORMATION

What to do in Balrampur Chini Mills Ltd.
DOUBLE BOTTOM AND GRAVESTONE DOJI FORMATION
cmp-45.50
As on 10.11 AM on 2/04/2013.
Click on charts to enlarge.

Contact us OR Become member to get accurate TGT, SL level and HOLDING DURATION.

Technical analysis and stock movements as well recommendations are subject to changes in market condition and news flow of company and the economy. So please remain updated with us. Or contact us directly in case of any query on info@meghainvestments.com or 09377008708

Apr 1, 2013

Book Excerpts of "HOT COMMODITIES", how anyone can invest profitably in the world’s best market” by Jim Rogers


EXCERPTS FROM BOOK
“HOT COMMODITIES, how anyone can invest profitably in the world’s best market” by Jim Rogers
Publish date= 1994
Introduction and prologue by us:
Jim Rogers founded the famous Quantum Fund along with George Soros. However, he became more famous after he successfully predicted and aggressively advocated, in the early years of first decade of twenty first century; for case for a bull market across commodities. He wrote this book basically to express his views on the same and giving out information about trading and investing in commodities.
It was a precious reading at the time of launch. However, even after now close to a decade since the book was first published (2004), the lessons on commodity investing and importantly the approach towards it has not vanished.
There are very good explanation about some of the most important commodities in detail and their history as well.
One has to keep in mind, that today, in the investment world as we know it, commodities are not an entirely a new asset class. However, while this book was written, it was not. It was only beginning to start to get recognition, and perhaps one of the strong important factors was this book itself.  Since, then in last 5-8 years, commodities have an ‘official’ asset class for diversification, rather than an element ‘included passively into equities’. Hundreds and thousands of commodity specific funds have been introduced by investment companies across the world. The advent of Commodity ETFs have given enormous boost to them and the almost long lasting position of commodities seem to have been cemented into the investment world of this new century.

Below are some of the important excerpts from the book,
       ……I had always been interested in current affairs and history, and it was a revelation to learn that someone on Wall Street would actually pay me for figuring out that a revolution in Chile would drive up the price for copper.
       CRB Commodity Yearbook is a bible for all those who want to track commodities.
       I vaguely recall studying the CRB charts for various raw materials; when I saw a sharp rise, I analyzed why the prices of that commodity went up so quickly.
       Whenever someone claims that investing has become different this time around, I grab my money and run.
       There should be consistency, stability and transparency in an index.
       The Rogers Raw Materials Index Fund International Commodities Index opened for business August 1, 1998 based on the Rogers International Commodities Index (RICI). It features a basket of 36 commodities.
       I was now old enough to know that anytime you move away from the herd, the herd will criticize you, indeed revile you; it will call you ‘crazy’.
Posted on Monday, April 01, 2013 | Categories:

Mar 27, 2013

Happy Holi & Dhuleti !


Posted on Wednesday, March 27, 2013 | Categories:

Mar 24, 2013

Minimum Public Float stipulation, 190 companies still don’t care SEBI

Minimum Public Float stipulation, 190 companies still don’t care SEBI;
The information was provided by  Corporate Affairs Minister Sachin Pilot in Lok Sabha in a written reply of a question asked to him.
According to Sebi, companies could meet the norms by many routes including Offer for Sale, Institutional Placement Programme, bonus and rights issues to public shareholders.In a circular issued in August 2012, the market regulator had said that companies seeking to achieve MPS by ways, other than prescribed, could approach it.
The answer also noted that It is also mentioned in the circular that listed entities desirous of seeking any relaxation from the available methods may approach Sebi with appropriate details. So we can confer that there will be more extensions to many companies in specific or another extension to deadline in general for the MPS stipulatin.


The SEBI stretched the minimum public float requirement for listed firms one year in 2012 for their convenience till June 2013. But it looks after two years of extension of limit, still many companies don’t care about it.
As on December, 2012 at total of 190 companies, including 14 PSUs, are yet to meet this minimum prescribed public shareholding norms. As on that date these stake was worth Rs.30,000 crore.  Sebi has also initiated consultations with non-compliant companies to resolve all outstanding issues for ensuring adherence to this requirement. But it is highly contemptuous as the market condition of debt as well as equity does not seem to be very good for a fund raising or stake dilution even environment.

BSE India Web Review


BSE and NSE are the two main bourses in India (while the third MCX-SX is just on the way to open). Out of it, BSE is the oldest stock exchange of Asia while second oldest in the whole world founded in 1875.
In this article we are going to give review on www.bseindia.com which is the official website of Bombay Stock Exchange India Ltd.
BSE website is worth a huge applaud (same with NSE), when they are compared with their counterparts in other countries. BSE website is more featureful and useful to not just investors, and traders and general public trying to find general information but also the professionals in capital markets.
BSE has this ‘Market Galaxy’ window on its home page which pops open when you click on ‘full view’ option. This gives the names of the stocks along with the happenings like high turnover than usual, yearly high, yearly low, lifetime high, lifetime low etc. This helps user to find the most active stocks. This feature also adds curiosity excitement to its website use.

Mar 19, 2013

Global Indices traded on NSE India and BSE India

Click below to find product details and specification about the global indices being trades on NSE, Global Indices listed on NSE, World indices traded on NSE India
Below I the link for live prices of Dow Jones, S&P500, FTSE100 futures and options traded on NSE

DETAILS OF GLOBAL INDICES TRADED ON BSE- Brazil, Russia, South Africa, China
Below is the CONTRACT SPECIFICATIONS OF FTSE/JSE Top40 futures of South Africa’s Johannesburg Stock Exchange, Brazil’s Bovespa, Russia’s MICEX, Hang Seng of China
(However, it seems there is no trading on BSE for the global indices at all, not a single contract traded as on today)

Mar 18, 2013

Global Central Banks purchases most gold since 1964


Global Central Banks purchases most gold since 1964
According to data released by World Gold Council, the central banks added 534.6 tonnes of gold to reserves in 2012, the most since 1964.
It is also expected that more than 250 tonnes will be bought again in 2013 and 2014.
The WGC also says that central banks are increasing purchases of gold, yen and china’s currency to reduce their dollar and euro holding as a percentage of total reserves.
Posted on Monday, March 18, 2013 | Categories:

565$ billion inflow in global mutual fund industry in 2012


565$ billion inflow in global mutual fund industry in 2012

The global mutual fund industry witnessed a growth of 3.9% in 2012 with an inflow of 565$ billion. This excludes 535$ billion in fixed income funds during 2012. The AUM or asset under management also increased 39% between 2007 and the end of 2012.
The fixed income flows consist of almost 95% of the long term flow, rest you can imagine.
In the USA also the open end funds and ETF witnessed sharp rise in inflows to pre-crisis levels which led to industry assets rising to record of $10.6 trillion.
The management fee earned by non-money market funds netted 8.3$ billion in 2012, which was 9.7$ billion in 2007.

Posted on Monday, March 18, 2013 | Categories:

Mar 16, 2013

Mar 12, 2013

FM declines any money-laundering attempt via P-NOTES. P-NOTES notional value 1.38 lakh crore at the end of 2011


FM declines any moneylaundering attempt via P-NOTES. P-NOTES notional value 1.38 lakh crore at the end of 2011.
In reply to a question asked in Loksabha, Finance Minister P Chidambaram on Friday said the Securities and Exchange Board of India and the enforcement directorate have not come across any instance of Participatory Notes, through which foreign institutional investors invest in Indian stock markets, being used for money laundering.
At the end of December 2012, the notional value of outstanding PNs stood at Rs 1.51 lakh crore, higher than Rs 1.38 lakh crore at the end of 2011.
Currently FIIs issuing PNs has to report details such as name, location, type and jurisdiction of the end beneficial owner of the instrument on a monthly basis to market regulator Sebi.
FIIs are also required to provide an undertaking that they have not issued the PNs to Indian residents or non-resident Indians and KYC compliance norms have been followed for beneficial owner of the PN.
A PN is a derivative instrument issued by Sebi registered FIIs against underlying Indian securities. The investor in PN has neither ownership of the underlying Indian securities nor any voting rights.
Posted on Tuesday, March 12, 2013 | Categories:

Mar 5, 2013

What is the global benchmark futures contract for Corn/Maize/

What is the global benchmark corn/maize futures contract?
Global corn futures benchmark contract used to trade on MATIF, which was a commodities exchange in Paris.
It was merged in Euronext and traded on LIFFE platform of the Euronext.

Below is the link for contract specifications,

You can find delayed prices of the same on below link,

You can get corn futures prices traded on CBOT (Chicago Board of Trade) here,