Aug 28, 2013
Aug 25, 2013
Aug 23, 2013
How handful of people ate the cream of Indian Economic Growth! Ajim Premji, A Case Study: And Why You Are Responsible For Your Own Financial Good and Bad In This Age:
How handful of people ate the
cream of Indian Economic Growth! Ajim Premji, A Case Study: And Why You Are
Responsible For Your Own Financial Good and Bad In This Age:
If
you are reading this than you must be aware that stock market/capital market is
the barometer of the economy and it is the place where you trade the growth of
the economy. But how many out of the entire population eligible to invest
has invested in this growth of the country? Have you ever wondered that
there are only 3-4% population of the country that is invested into stock
markets right now (including mutual funds) and why so? The ratio of entire
country’s population invested into stock markets run somewhere between 20-50%
in China, USA and other such economy. The lower equity participation is also
one of the reasons why India, after 20 years of liberalization has not been
able to come on the fast track of sustained growth rate like China and other Asian
peers.
The
point we are discussing here is however distinct.
What we want to throw light is here that how
handful of promoters have ate the cream of privatization and benefited from the
liberalization of the economy.
We
will take only one example or case study
here. The IT sector is one of the major beneficiary of the liberalization
process. Wipro has been among the top 5 IT companies among Infosys, TCS, Patni,
Satyam, Tech Mahindra and a couple others.
Aug 22, 2013
Aug 21, 2013
13 Cognitive Biases to be aware of by traders and investors
Here are 12 Cognitive Biases that prevent
human beings from behaving rationally. As perception is reality in the
financial markets, I thought it might be useful to address those issues through
the lens of a trader.
1. Confirmation Bias
This is a fatal flaw of trading; we tend to surround ourselves with information that validates our own point of view and dismiss input that conflicts with our reasoning (also known as cognitive dissonance). This is the primary reason why we always strive to see “both sides of every trade” as the residual grist between variant views is where education—and profitability—resides.
2. In-Group Bias
This is a manifestation of confirmation bias, or the tendency to surround ourselves with those who share similar takes on the tape. This could pertain to our physical environment or a virtual experience, such as Twitter. Not only does this provide a false sense of security in our individual viewpoints, it makes us suspicious—or angry—with outsiders who dare to question how we feel.
1. Confirmation Bias
This is a fatal flaw of trading; we tend to surround ourselves with information that validates our own point of view and dismiss input that conflicts with our reasoning (also known as cognitive dissonance). This is the primary reason why we always strive to see “both sides of every trade” as the residual grist between variant views is where education—and profitability—resides.
2. In-Group Bias
This is a manifestation of confirmation bias, or the tendency to surround ourselves with those who share similar takes on the tape. This could pertain to our physical environment or a virtual experience, such as Twitter. Not only does this provide a false sense of security in our individual viewpoints, it makes us suspicious—or angry—with outsiders who dare to question how we feel.
Aug 13, 2013
Daily Mental Conditioning For Becoming a Successful Trader
Daily Mental Conditioning For Becoming a Successful Trader
Deciding to be a profitable financial
trader is the first step in becoming one. Trite you say? Not really. Missing
this one step or doing it out of order xplains why 90% of brokerage accounts go
to zero within the first year, many doing so in the first 4 months!
In addition to arbitrarily deciding
to be a profitable financial trader, a more powerful and lasting way is to use
psychological conditioning on yourself so that you CONSISTENTLY decide that you
are a profitable trader Here’s my interpretation of the method for doing this
that I learned from the famous success guru I alluded to in my comments two
blogs back.
First, write out the sentence below on a piece of paper.
“FROM THIS MOMENT FORWARD, I AM A
PROFITABLE TRADER”.
Second, consider the pain you have experienced before because you have not
consistently thought of yourself as a profitable trader. Imagine experiencing
that again in the present and future. Do this for 30 seconds. Notice how you
feel as you do that.
Third, consider the pleasure you would experience in the present and the
future if you did make this decision. Do this for 30 seconds or longer. Imagine
yourself getting a string of winning trades in your brokerage account (stocks,
options, emini market average futures, pork belly futures, orange juice
futures… whatever). Notice how you feel as you do that.
Aug 9, 2013
Aug 4, 2013
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Aug 3, 2013
SOME VALUABLE EXCERPTS FROM PARAG PARIKH'S BOOK VALUE INVESTING AND BEHAVIOURAL FINANCE.
SOME VALUABLE EXCERPTS FROM PARAG PARIKH'S BOOK VALUE INVESTING AND BEHAVIOURAL FINANCE.
·
…is it because of the inconsistent
performance of business behind the stocks of is it because of the behavior of
the market participants, who as a result of greed and fear get excessively
optimistic and pessimistic about the future resulting in bull nd bear phase?
·
…a conclusive study done on Sensex
which highlights that it is not the inconsistent performance of companies
constituting Sensex but the follies of crowd behavior which make investing
risky.
·
IPO investing is not for a value or a
contrarian investor. Value found in bear market and IPOs are a product of bull
market.
·
…we have created financial markets
where such insanity works.
·
Research on the Indian indices high
lights some important drawbacks of passive investing.
·
Failure is as predictable as success
because it is the strength of characters which separates the winner from the
loser.
·
Economists say that the inability to
delay gratification is the primary reason for economic failure in life.
·
Ninety percent of what we do is
dictated b habits.
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